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With the prime piece of downtown Barrie Real Estate the city has there is an incredible opportunity over the next few years to position Barrie as one of - if not the top waterfront/boater friendly community in all of Ontario while at the same time create an as yet untapped revenue stream and boost tourism numbers beyond what we have seen before.
With a proposed Hotel and convention center providing the perfect catalyst, Barrie could begin to evolve its downtown into a thriving lakeside entertainment and shopping district and become a magnet for unique and stylish boutiques, galleries, craft and antique shops, great markets, cafes and fashionable restaurants where for lease signs, tattoo parlours and pawn shops currently dot its landscape.
There is opportunity for revenue growth that will encourage new cutting edge architecture in hand with the revamping of Barrie’s historic downtown architecture to its past splendour. Dunlop and its neighbouring streets can evolve into vibrant and exciting pedestrian friendly streets that will lure residents and visitors to our core. Yes Barrie has an official plan for its future that intends for much of what I described to take place. Kind of a “build it and they will come “philosophy behind it all which leaves much to chance. The proposed downtown Hotel and convention centre is an “about time” great idea that will attract attention and new revenue to downtown and keep millions of dollars in convention spending from going down the highway to the GTA because we don’t have venues at present with the capacity to hold events bigger than a few hundred people. But this is just one part of what could and should be taking place to provide the foundation for a revitalized down town.
Literally Millions of tourist dollars travel across Lake Simcoe between the Trent and Severn Rivers each year. The upper echelon of North American Society move across our lake in a steady stream from May to October on yachts that are pretty much six and even seven figure floating 5-star hotel suites. Very few of them or any Boaters/cottagers on Lake Simcoe will make the side trip to Barrie because they know the chances of finding temporary or overnight (transient) docking are slim to none and the only semblance of a dining experience apparent when scanning downtown from the lake is Hooters or Burger King. Barrie take note: The Big Bay Point Resort project is going to introduce hundreds of new boating enthusiasts to Lake Simcoe just a fifteen to twenty minute boat ride from downtown Barrie. Along with thousands of existing waterfront property owners, most will take the occasional afternoon or evening cruise past Barrie’s down town, few will think to or have the option to tie up and spend a few hours enjoying Barrie’s down town shopping and dining.
A couple years ago I tried to shake up our last City Council on the idea of expanding Barrie’s downtown marina, especially the public docking facilities into a world class marina facility capable of attracting nautical clientèle from all of Lake Simcoe and the Trent Severn to come and experience Barrie. I got no reply from anyone on Council to my emailed suggestion. A short time later I had the chance to speak with then mayor Rob Hamilton about the idea. He told me Barrie’s marina facilities are adequate. I suggested to him we should make that our official slogan, “Barrie, striving to be adequate”, I got a blank stare in response and he kindly excused himself from our conversation.
The road to adequacy is littered with safe minimalist planning and half baked ideas. If adequate is all Barrie will ever be then we don’t deserve the privilege of being located on one of the best and busiest waterfronts in Ontario. Hopefully the advent of a downtown hotel and convention centre will stimulate the adrenaline of City Council and our Mayor and allow them to see this is the perfect time and opportunity to venture beyond adequacy. I will hold my breath as well to see if good common sense is forthcoming when the Allandale Rail lands are finally sold and developed.
Part of the approval for a Hotel and convention facility that will enjoy and benefit from having the most prime and convenient commercial proximity to our lakefront and marina has to be that they make a direct and ongoing financial investment in our public marina facilities allowing Barrie to build a world class Marina with a generous supply of transient boat slips that will help to make Barrie stand out the way it should.
The overheated commercial market of 2006 and 2007 is a distant memory in the new paradigm where traditional metrics such as cap rates and cash-on-cash return determine value. Savvy investors are in a prime position to reap leveraged returns of 12% to 17% in value-added plays. Given the recent turmoil in the credit markets, cash-rich investors will be well-suited to buy good properties at excellent prices, as desperate sellers unload product that had been stagnating on the market."Overview: During the past few months, most properties traded were at pricing and terms 5% to 10% below those achieved during the first half of 2007....We believe that pricing has adjusted sufficiently that core real estate, purchased in early 2008, can achieve attractive unleveraged annual returns of between 7.5% and 8.0%."
"Effective cap rates increased about 25 to 50 basis points over the past six months as property values decreased."
"The Property Markets: Primary consideration should be given to those metropolitan areas where economic growth should be strongest. The strongest markets have high exposure to international financial and professional services, defense, trade, medical and high-tech industries. Such 'Globally-Linked' markets should achieve particularly strong economic growth...They include... Los Angeles.""Apartments: Supply constrained markets with low housing affordability will continue to outperform affordable markets, such as ... Los Angeles. In fact, we expect a widening bifurcation in performance between supply constrained and most low barrier-to-entry markets."
"Apartment Transaction Market: The weighted average cap rate was a low 6.13% compared to 6.08% last year. Cap rates in the top tier markets are holding firm, while some decompression is occurring for lesser quality assets in secondary markets."
"Industrial Properties. Gateway markets continue to be the most resilient to the economic slow down with foreign trade and high tech as the key drivers for the sector. Major land-constrained port markets, such as Southern California ... will continue to outperform."
"Industrial Property Transaction Market: Although the first three quarters [of 2007] had been particularly strong, turmoil in the credit markets interrupted potential deals and caused transaction volume to tumble. A flight to quality and fewer deals has allowed average cap rates for warehouse and flex properties to remain low, but a pricing correction is becoming apparent as the risk premium (spread between cap rates and treasuries) is widening for both warehouse and flex properties."
"Implications for Investors: With repricing well under way, opportunities are beginning to emerge for acquisitions ... Given our longer-term positive outlook for real estate fundamentals, acquisitions utilizing realistic assumptions should be attractive. Some sellers are highly motivated, and the pool of buyers is currently thin."
According to data from the Northern Illinois MLS there were 821 sales of single family homes in 2007, down from 1,183 in 2006. The median sales price was $230,000.00, this was a decrease from $233,300.00 in 2006. Marketing times were an average of 122 days on the market, up from the 2006 average of 90 days.
As of February 19, 2008 there are 981 active listings of single family detached homes in the MLS. At the 2007 level of absorption this is 14.34 months of unsold available inventory. A 3-4 months supply of inventory is considered "in balance", this level is an oversupply.
To recap 2007 for detached homes, sales volume was down -30.60%, median sales prices up +1.41%, and the days on the market were up +35.55%. This market is oversupplied and the 981 active listings have already been on the market an average of 202 days.
The condo/townhouse market had 385 sales, down from the 533 properties that sold in 2006. Sales prices are stable with the 2006 mean sales price of $187,000.00, unchanged for 2007. Marketing times were an average of 105 days on the market, an increase from the 2006 average of 79 days.
There are 298 active listings of attached homes in the MLS. Based on the 2007 level of absorption this is 9.31 months of unsold inventory.
The condo/townhouse market is over supplied, sales volume was down -27.76%, sales prices have remained stable, the days on the market increased +32.91%. The 298 active MLS listings have already been on the market an average of 166 days.
If you have an active listing or need to sell in 2008 now is the time to get an appraisal. The market has changed and only the most competitively priced homes will be selling soon.
Make sure that your listing is competitive, get a current appraisal. Complete appraisals of single family homes and condominiums start at $275.00. this is a small price to pay for knowledge that will help you position your house to sell in the current market.
Citywide Services provides residential appraisal service in Elgin, IL. 60118. Our appraisers are certified by the State of Illinois. We have experience with all types of residential property and appraise single family homes, townhouses, condominiums as well as small residential income properties. When you need to find an appraiser in Kane County contact Citywide 1-800-405-9718
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